Tuesday, July 25, 2006

What's At Stake In Lebanon And Gaza?

I have written an article briefly outlining why I expect the sitaution in both Lebanon and Gaza to escalate. It can be found on my markfromireland site. Here's the conclusion:

"The situation therefore has several intertwined strands:

  • An Israeli attempt to bantustanise both Lebanon and Gaza.
  • An Israeli attempt to seize desperately needed water resources.
  • An Israeli attempt to
    comprehensively defeat armed Islamic activism in its neighbourhood once and for all and establish a "pax Israelica."

What can be expected? In summary:

  1. Don't expect anyone to back down soon.
  2. Expect the military conflict to escalate."

You can find the entire posting here.


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