Thursday, October 19, 2006


I'm starting to see this a lot: 600,000 as the figure for the "Lancet Study"

Wrong wrong wrong. The figurre is 654,965 not 600,000.

  1. The statistically most likely figure is 654,965.
  2. The lower boundary in the range is 392,979.
  3. The upper boundary in the range is 942,636.
  4. The upper and lower boundaries have the same statistical probability level.

If you're going to round figures, you should round to the nearest order. Thus 400,000 to 900,000.


And incidentally remember that that study is three months old and there's been a massive surge in violence and death since then. For heaven's sake get your figures right and don't cheapen either the deaths of your fellow human beings or the suffering of those who loved them.


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